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Abstract The North Atlantic Current (NAC) is a major source of heat toward the subpolar gyre and northern seas. However, its variability and drivers are not well understood. Here, we evaluated 8 years of continuous daily measurements as part of the international program Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program to investigate the NAC in the Iceland Basin. We found that the NAC volume and freshwater anomaly transport and heat content (HC) were highly variable with significant variability at timescales of 16–120 days to annual. Intraseasonal to short interannual variability was associated with mesoscale and intermittent mesoscale features abundant in the region. Composites analysis revealed that strong NAC periods were associated with less eddy kinetic energy in the Iceland Basin, which was consistent with the presence of frontal‐like structures instead of eddy‐like structures. On longer timescales, the westward migration of the eastern boundary of the subpolar North Atlantic (SPNA) gyre favors a stronger NAC volume transport and HC in the region. Stronger zonal wind stress triggers a fast response that piles water up between the SPNA and subtropical gyres, which increases the sea surface height gradient and drives the acceleration of the NAC. The strengthening of the NAC increases the heat and salt transport northward. During our study period, both heat and salt increased across the moorings. These observations are important for understanding the heat and freshwater variability in the SPNA, which ultimately impacts the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation.more » « less
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Wintertime convection in the North Atlantic Ocean is a key component of the global climate as it produces dense waters at high latitudes that flow equatorward as part of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). Recent work has highlighted the dominant role of the Irminger and Iceland basins in the production of North Atlantic Deep Water. Dense water formation in these basins is mainly explained by buoyancy forcing that transforms surface waters to the deep waters of the AMOC lower limb. Air-sea fluxes and the ocean surface density field are both key determinants of the buoyancy-driven transformation. We analyze these contributions to the transformation in order to better understand the connection between atmospheric forcing and the densification of surface water. More precisely, we study the impact of air-sea fluxes and the ocean surface density field on the transformation of subpolar mode water (SPMW) in the Iceland Basin, a water mass that “pre-conditions” dense water formation downstream. Analyses using 40 years of observations (1980–2019) reveal that the variance in SPMW transformation is mainly influenced by the variance in density at the ocean surface. This surface density is set by a combination of advection, wind-driven upwelling and surface fluxes. Our study shows that the latter explains ∼ 30 % of the variance in outcrop area as expressed by the surface area between the outcropped SPMW isopycnals. The key role of the surface density in SPMW transformation partly explains the unusually large SPMW transformation in winter 2014–2015 over the Iceland Basin.more » « less
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Abstract Understanding the variability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation is essential for better predictions of our changing climate. Here we present an updated time series (August 2014 to June 2020) from the Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program. The 6-year time series allows us to observe the seasonality of the subpolar overturning and meridional heat and freshwater transports. The overturning peaks in late spring and reaches a minimum in early winter, with a peak-to-trough range of 9.0 Sv. The overturning seasonal timing can be explained by winter transformation and the export of dense water, modulated by a seasonally varying Ekman transport. Furthermore, over 55% of the total meridional freshwater transport variability can be explained by its seasonality, largely owing to overturning dynamics. Our results provide the first observational analysis of seasonality in the subpolar North Atlantic overturning and highlight its important contribution to the total overturning variability observed to date.more » « less
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Abstract The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), a key mechanism in the climate system, delivers warm and salty waters from the subtropical gyre to the subpolar gyre and Nordic Seas, where they are transformed into denser waters flowing southward in the lower AMOC limb. The prevailing hypothesis is that dense waters formed in the Labrador and Nordic Seas are the sources for the AMOC lower limb. However, recent observations reveal that convection in the Labrador Sea contributes minimally to the total overturning of the subpolar gyre. In this study, we show that the AMOC is instead primarily composed of waters formed in the Nordic Seas and Irminger and Iceland basins. A first direct estimate of heat and freshwater fluxes over these basins demonstrates that buoyancy forcing during the winter months can almost wholly account for the dense waters of the subpolar North Atlantic that are exported as part of the AMOC.more » « less
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Abstract. The Arctic Mediterranean (AM) is the collective name forthe Arctic Ocean, the Nordic Seas, and their adjacent shelf seas. Water enters into thisregion through the Bering Strait (Pacific inflow) and through the passages across theGreenland–Scotland Ridge (Atlantic inflow) and is modified within the AM. The modifiedwaters leave the AM in several flow branches which are grouped into two differentcategories: (1) overflow of dense water through the deep passages across theGreenland–Scotland Ridge, and (2) outflow of light water – here termed surface outflow– on both sides of Greenland. These exchanges transport heat and salt into and out ofthe AM and are important for conditions in the AM. They are also part of the global oceancirculation and climate system. Attempts to quantify the transports by various methodshave been made for many years, but only recently the observational coverage has becomesufficiently complete to allow an integrated assessment of the AM exchanges based solelyon observations. In this study, we focus on the transport of water and have collecteddata on volume transport for as many AM-exchange branches as possible between 1993 and2015. The total AM import (oceanic inflows plusfreshwater) is found to be 9.1 Sv (sverdrup,1 Sv =106 m3 s−1) with an estimated uncertainty of 0.7 Sv and hasthe amplitude of the seasonal variation close to 1 Sv and maximum import in October.Roughly one-third of the imported water leaves the AM as surface outflow with theremaining two-thirds leaving as overflow. The overflow water is mainly produced frommodified Atlantic inflow and around 70 % of the total Atlantic inflow is convertedinto overflow, indicating a strong coupling between these two exchanges. The surfaceoutflow is fed from the Pacific inflow and freshwater (runoff and precipitation), but isstill approximately two-thirds of modified Atlantic water. For the inflowbranches and the two main overflow branches (Denmark Strait and Faroe Bank Channel),systematic monitoring of volume transport has been established since the mid-1990s, andthis enables us to estimate trends for the AM exchanges as a whole. At the 95 %confidence level, only the inflow of Pacific water through the Bering Strait showed astatistically significant trend, which was positive. Both the total AM inflow and thecombined transport of the two main overflow branches also showed trends consistent withstrengthening, but they were not statistically significant. They do suggest, however,that any significant weakening of these flows during the last two decades is unlikely andthe overall message is that the AM exchanges remained remarkably stable in the periodfrom the mid-1990s to the mid-2010s. The overflows are the densest source water for thedeep limb of the North Atlantic part of the meridional overturning circulation (AMOC),and this conclusion argues that the reported weakening of the AMOC was not due tooverflow weakening or reduced overturning in the AM. Although the combined data set hasmade it possible to establish a consistent budget for the AM exchanges, the observationalcoverage for some of the branches is limited, which introduces considerable uncertainty.This lack of coverage is especially extreme for the surface outflow through the DenmarkStrait, the overflow across the Iceland–Faroe Ridge, and the inflow over the Scottishshelf. We recommend that more effort is put into observing these flows as well asmaintaining the monitoring systems established for the other exchange branches.more » « less
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Abstract The Atlantic Ocean overturning circulation is important to the climate system because it carries heat and carbon northward, and from the surface to the deep ocean. The high salinity of the subpolar North Atlantic is a prerequisite for overturning circulation, and strong freshening could herald a slowdown. We show that the eastern subpolar North Atlantic underwent extreme freshening during 2012 to 2016, with a magnitude never seen before in 120 years of measurements. The cause was unusual winter wind patterns driving major changes in ocean circulation, including slowing of the North Atlantic Current and diversion of Arctic freshwater from the western boundary into the eastern basins. We find that wind-driven routing of Arctic-origin freshwater intimately links conditions on the North West Atlantic shelf and slope region with the eastern subpolar basins. This reveals the importance of atmospheric forcing of intra-basin circulation in determining the salinity of the subpolar North Atlantic.more » « less
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